Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 27 January 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
24 to 25 Jan 2017
Respondents
1,029
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU35.0%
  • SPD23.0%
  • AfD14.0%
  • Grüne9.0%
  • Linke8.0%
  • FDP6.0%
  • Others5.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,029 people were surveyed from 24 to 25 Jan 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 2.1 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jan 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -2.1average 10.1
  • SPD +1.5average 21.5
  • AfD +1.5average 12.5
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 35.7
  • FDP -0.3average 6.3
  • Grüne ±0average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 232 seatsSPD: 152 seatsAfD: 93 seatsGrüne: 60 seatsLinke: 53 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU232
  • SPD152
  • AfD93
  • Grüne60
  • Linke53
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD384 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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