Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 13 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 1,268
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+3.0
- Grüne19.0%-3.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Nov 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,268 people were surveyed from 11 to 13 Dec 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Nov 2018, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has FDP 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -2.0average 9.0
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 29.1
- AfD +0.8average 14.2
- Grüne -0.2average 19.2
- Linke -0.1average 9.1
- SPD ±0average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- Grüne126
- SPD100
- AfD99
- Linke60
- FDP46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP344 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.