Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 22 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,336
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- AfD16.0%+2.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 Nov 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,336 people were surveyed from 20 to 22 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 Nov 2018, AfD gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.2average 19.8
- AfD +1.2average 14.8
- SPD -1.1average 15.1
- FDP -1.1average 9.1
- Linke -0.4average 9.4
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 26.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU177
- Grüne144
- AfD105
- SPD92
- Linke59
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke341 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.