Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 8 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%+2.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-2.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 19 Oct 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 6 to 8 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 19 Oct 2018, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.7average 19.3
- AfD -1.3average 15.3
- SPD -0.7average 14.7
- Linke -0.7average 9.7
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 26.4
- FDP -0.6average 9.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- Grüne145
- SPD93
- AfD93
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne324 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.