Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 27 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,260
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- SPD17.0%-3.0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%+2.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 Sep 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,260 people were surveyed from 25 to 27 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 Sep 2018, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.7average 14.3
- FDP -1.0average 9.0
- AfD -0.5average 16.5
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 28.3
- Linke -0.3average 10.3
- SPD -0.2average 17.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- SPD112
- Grüne111
- AfD105
- Linke66
- FDP52
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD401 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.