Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 13 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,339
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- SPD20.0%+2.0
- Grüne16.0%+2.0
- AfD15.0%-2.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 31 Aug 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,339 people were surveyed from 11 to 13 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 31 Aug 2018, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.6 points higher and Grüne 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.6average 17.4
- Grüne +2.4average 13.6
- Linke -2.0average 10.0
- FDP -1.9average 8.9
- AfD -0.7average 15.7
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 29.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- SPD131
- Grüne105
- AfD98
- Linke53
- FDP46
- CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD334 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.