Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 31 August 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 30 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 1,216
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Aug 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,216 people were surveyed from 28 to 30 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Aug 2018, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Linke 1.8 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.8average 9.8
- CDU/CSU +1.5average 29.5
- AfD +1.4average 15.6
- FDP -0.9average 8.9
- SPD +0.3average 17.7
- Grüne +0.2average 13.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD118
- AfD112
- Grüne92
- FDP53
- Linke52
- CDU/CSU + SPD321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.