Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 August 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 9 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 1,294
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%-2.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Others3.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Jul 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,294 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Jul 2018, Linke loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.8average 13.2
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 30.0
- Linke -0.8average 9.8
- FDP -0.8average 8.8
- SPD +0.2average 17.8
- AfD +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU202
- SPD117
- AfD104
- Grüne97
- Linke58
- FDP52
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne403 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.