Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 June 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 1,290
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%-2.0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Jun 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,290 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Jun 2018, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.0average 12.0
- AfD -1.1average 15.1
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 31.4
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
- SPD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- SPD117
- Grüne91
- AfD91
- Linke65
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.