Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 June 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 7 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 1,284
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 18 May 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,284 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 18 May 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.5average 17.5
- AfD -1.3average 14.3
- Grüne +1.1average 11.9
- Linke -0.5average 10.5
- FDP -0.4average 8.4
- CDU/CSU ±0average 33.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU215
- SPD130
- Grüne84
- AfD84
- Linke65
- FDP52
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.