Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 18 May 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 17 May 2018
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Apr 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 15 to 17 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Apr 2018, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.4average 17.6
- Linke -1.3average 10.3
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 32.8
- FDP -0.8average 8.8
- Grüne +0.2average 11.8
- AfD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU221
- SPD130
- AfD91
- Grüne78
- Linke58
- FDP52
- CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.