Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 April 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 26 Apr 2018
- Respondents
- 1,285
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others3.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Apr 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,285 people were surveyed from 24 to 26 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Apr 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has FDP 2.4 points lower and SPD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -2.4average 9.4
- SPD +1.9average 18.1
- CDU/CSU +1.7average 32.3
- Grüne +1.2average 11.8
- AfD -1.0average 14.0
- Linke -0.3average 10.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU221
- SPD130
- Grüne84
- AfD84
- Linke65
- FDP46
- CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.