Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 April 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
10 to 12 Apr 2018
Respondents
1,159
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%+1.0
  • SPD19.0%±0
  • Grüne14.0%+2.0
  • AfD13.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%-2.0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 Mar 2018.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,159 people were surveyed from 10 to 12 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 Mar 2018, Grüne gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.7 points higher and Linke 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.7average 11.3
  • Linke -1.6average 10.6
  • FDP -1.1average 9.1
  • AfD -1.0average 14.0
  • SPD +0.9average 18.1
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 32.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 217 seatsSPD: 125 seatsGrüne: 92 seatsAfD: 85 seatsLinke: 59 seatsFDP: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU217
  • SPD125
  • Grüne92
  • AfD85
  • Linke59
  • FDP52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD394 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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