Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 March 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 15 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 1,214
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%+2.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Feb 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,214 people were surveyed from 13 to 15 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Feb 2018, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.2average 17.8
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 32.8
- AfD -0.8average 13.8
- Linke +0.8average 10.2
- Grüne -0.1average 12.1
- FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- SPD125
- AfD85
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.