Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 February 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
20 to 22 Feb 2018
Respondents
1,360
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%+2.0
  • SPD17.0%-2.0
  • AfD14.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%-2.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 2 Feb 2018.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,360 people were surveyed from 20 to 22 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 2 Feb 2018, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.1average 9.9
  • FDP -1.1average 9.1
  • SPD -0.8average 17.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.2average 33.2
  • Grüne +0.1average 11.9
  • AfD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 219 seatsSPD: 113 seatsAfD: 93 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 73 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU219
  • SPD113
  • AfD93
  • Grüne79
  • Linke73
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke385 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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