Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 2 February 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jan 2018 to 1 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 1,302
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%-2.0
- SPD19.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%+2.0
- AfD14.0%+2.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 19 Jan 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,302 people were surveyed from 30 Jan 2018 to 1 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 19 Jan 2018, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 3.0 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.0average 11.0
- CDU/CSU -2.2average 33.2
- FDP -2.0average 9.0
- Linke +0.8average 10.2
- AfD +0.7average 13.3
- SPD -0.1average 19.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD125
- Grüne92
- AfD92
- Linke72
- FDP46
- CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.