Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 19 January 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 18 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 1,332
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%-3.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Dec 2017.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,332 people were surveyed from 16 to 18 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Dec 2017, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.1average 13.1
- Grüne +1.0average 11.0
- FDP -1.0average 9.0
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 32.8
- Linke +0.2average 9.8
- SPD ±0average 20.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- SPD133
- Grüne80
- AfD79
- Linke66
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.