Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 December 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
5 to 7 Dec 2017
Respondents
1,353
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%-1.0
  • SPD23.0%+2.0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-2.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Nov 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,353 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Nov 2017, SPD gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.0 points higher and FDP 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.0average 21.0
  • FDP -1.6average 9.6
  • Grüne +1.2average 10.8
  • Linke -0.8average 9.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 32.3
  • AfD ±0average 12.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 210 seatsSPD: 151 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsAfD: 79 seatsLinke: 59 seatsFDP: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU210
  • SPD151
  • Grüne79
  • AfD79
  • Linke59
  • FDP52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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