Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 October 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 12 Oct 2017
- Respondents
- 1,180
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%-1.0
- SPD21.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP11.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 Sep 2017.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,180 people were surveyed from 10 to 12 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 3.4 points lower and Grüne 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.4average 34.4
- Grüne +2.5average 8.5
- AfD +1.0average 11.0
- FDP +0.9average 10.1
- SPD -0.7average 21.7
- Linke +0.5average 9.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD138
- AfD79
- FDP72
- Grüne72
- Linke66
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.