Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 October 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
24 to 26 Oct 2017
Respondents
1,325
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%+2.0
  • SPD21.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • FDP10.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Oct 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,325 people were surveyed from 24 to 26 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Oct 2017, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.3 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.3average 8.7
  • SPD -0.7average 21.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 33.6
  • AfD +0.6average 11.4
  • Linke -0.6average 9.6
  • FDP -0.5average 10.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 216 seatsSPD: 138 seatsAfD: 79 seatsGrüne: 72 seatsFDP: 66 seatsLinke: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU216
  • SPD138
  • AfD79
  • Grüne72
  • FDP66
  • Linke59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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