Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 September 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 28 Sep 2017
- Respondents
- 1,425
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%-4.0
- SPD21.0%-0.5
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%+3.0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+1.5
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 Sep 2017.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,425 people were surveyed from 26 to 28 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 4.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, Linke gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 4.3 points lower and Grüne 3.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.3average 36.3
- Grüne +3.4average 7.6
- AfD +1.5average 10.5
- SPD -1.0average 22.0
- FDP +0.7average 9.3
- Linke +0.2average 9.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- SPD138
- AfD79
- Grüne72
- FDP66
- Linke65
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.