Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
5 to 7 Sep 2017
Respondents
1,378
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%-1.0
  • SPD22.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 1 Sep 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,378 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 1 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.2average 23.2
  • CDU/CSU +0.8average 37.2
  • Grüne +0.5average 7.5
  • AfD -0.3average 9.3
  • Linke -0.2average 9.2
  • FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 251 seatsSPD: 146 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 60 seatsAfD: 60 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU251
  • SPD146
  • FDP60
  • Linke60
  • AfD60
  • Grüne53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD397 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne364 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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