Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 1 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
29 to 31 Aug 2017
Respondents
1,309
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU39.0%±0
  • SPD22.0%±0
  • FDP10.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 Aug 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,309 people were surveyed from 29 to 31 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 Aug 2017, FDP gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.5average 23.5
  • FDP +1.4average 8.6
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 37.9
  • AfD -0.8average 8.8
  • Grüne +0.7average 7.3
  • Linke ±0average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 256 seatsSPD: 144 seatsFDP: 66 seatsLinke: 59 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsAfD: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU256
  • SPD144
  • FDP66
  • Linke59
  • Grüne53
  • AfD52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD400 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD361 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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