Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
12 to 14 Sep 2017
Respondents
1,383
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.0%-2.0
  • SPD23.0%+1.0
  • FDP10.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Sep 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,383 people were surveyed from 12 to 14 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.2average 37.2
  • FDP +1.0average 9.0
  • AfD +0.5average 9.5
  • Linke -0.4average 9.4
  • Grüne +0.3average 7.7
  • SPD +0.2average 22.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 236 seatsSPD: 151 seatsFDP: 66 seatsAfD: 66 seatsLinke: 59 seatsGrüne: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU236
  • SPD151
  • FDP66
  • AfD66
  • Linke59
  • Grüne52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD387 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne347 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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