Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 July 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 20 Jul 2017
- Respondents
- 1,277
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU40.0%±0
- SPD24.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Grüne8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- AfD8.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 Jul 2017.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,277 people were surveyed from 18 to 20 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 Jul 2017, Linke loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.6average 38.4
- Linke -0.9average 8.9
- FDP -0.5average 8.5
- Grüne +0.4average 7.6
- SPD -0.1average 24.1
- AfD ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU263
- SPD158
- FDP53
- Grüne52
- Linke52
- AfD52
- CDU/CSU + SPD421 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP316 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD367 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.