Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
8 to 10 Aug 2017
Respondents
1,352
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU40.0%±0
  • SPD24.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 Jul 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,352 people were surveyed from 8 to 10 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 Jul 2017, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.4average 38.6
  • Linke -1.0average 9.0
  • Grüne +0.5average 7.5
  • FDP -0.4average 8.4
  • SPD +0.1average 23.9
  • AfD -0.1average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 263 seatsSPD: 158 seatsFDP: 53 seatsGrüne: 52 seatsLinke: 52 seatsAfD: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU263
  • SPD158
  • FDP53
  • Grüne52
  • Linke52
  • AfD52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD421 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP316 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD367 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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