Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 July 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
4 to 6 Jul 2017
Respondents
1,321
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU40.0%+1.0
  • SPD24.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Jun 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,321 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Jun 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.3average 38.7
  • AfD -0.7average 7.7
  • FDP -0.6average 8.6
  • Grüne +0.5average 7.5
  • SPD -0.2average 24.2
  • Linke +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 263 seatsSPD: 158 seatsLinke: 59 seatsFDP: 52 seatsGrüne: 52 seatsAfD: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU263
  • SPD158
  • Linke59
  • FDP52
  • Grüne52
  • AfD46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD421 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD361 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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