Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 June 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
20 to 22 Jun 2017
Respondents
1,261
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU39.0%±0
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%+1.0
  • AfD7.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 2 Jun 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,261 people were surveyed from 20 to 22 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 2 Jun 2017, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +0.8average 38.2
  • SPD +0.8average 24.2
  • AfD -0.8average 7.8
  • FDP -0.7average 8.7
  • Grüne +0.6average 7.4
  • Linke -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 256 seatsSPD: 164 seatsLinke: 59 seatsFDP: 53 seatsGrüne: 52 seatsAfD: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU256
  • SPD164
  • Linke59
  • FDP53
  • Grüne52
  • AfD46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD420 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD354 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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