Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 2 June 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
30 May 2017 to 1 Jun 2017
Respondents
1,301
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU39.0%+1.0
  • SPD25.0%-2.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%+1.0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 19 May 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,301 people were surveyed from 30 May 2017 to 1 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 19 May 2017, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.5average 37.5
  • FDP -0.9average 8.9
  • Linke +0.7average 8.3
  • Grüne -0.5average 7.5
  • AfD -0.3average 8.3
  • SPD -0.2average 25.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 256 seatsSPD: 164 seatsLinke: 59 seatsFDP: 53 seatsAfD: 52 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU256
  • SPD164
  • Linke59
  • FDP53
  • AfD52
  • Grüne46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD420 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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