Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 19 May 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 18 May 2017
- Respondents
- 1,344
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU38.0%+1.0
- SPD27.0%-2.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+2.0
- Grüne7.0%-1.0
- AfD7.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 Apr 2017.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,344 people were surveyed from 16 to 18 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 Apr 2017, SPD loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.3average 8.3
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 37.0
- FDP +0.7average 7.3
- Linke +0.6average 8.4
- SPD -0.4average 27.4
- Grüne -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU249
- SPD177
- Linke59
- FDP53
- Grüne46
- AfD46
- CDU/CSU + SPD426 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.