Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
25 to 27 Apr 2017
Respondents
1,328
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%+2.0
  • SPD29.0%-3.0
  • Linke9.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%+1.0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others3.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 Apr 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 1,328 people were surveyed from 25 to 27 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 Apr 2017, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.9average 35.1
  • SPD -1.4average 30.4
  • AfD -1.2average 9.2
  • Grüne +1.1average 6.9
  • Linke +0.5average 8.5
  • FDP +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 241 seatsSPD: 188 seatsLinke: 58 seatsGrüne: 52 seatsAfD: 52 seatsFDP: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU241
  • SPD188
  • Linke58
  • Grüne52
  • AfD52
  • FDP39
  • CDU/CSU + SPD429 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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