Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
4 to 6 Apr 2017
Respondents
1,384
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU35.0%+1.0
  • SPD32.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Mar 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 32.0%. 1,384 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Mar 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.3average 33.7
  • FDP -0.9average 5.9
  • SPD +0.4average 31.6
  • Grüne -0.4average 7.4
  • AfD +0.2average 8.8
  • Linke -0.1average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 230 seatsSPD: 210 seatsAfD: 59 seatsLinke: 52 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsFDP: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU230
  • SPD210
  • AfD59
  • Linke52
  • Grüne46
  • FDP33
  • CDU/CSU + SPD440 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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