Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 March 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
7 to 9 Mar 2017
Respondents
1,212
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%±0
  • SPD32.0%+2.0
  • AfD9.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%+1.0
  • Grüne7.0%-2.0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Feb 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 32.0%. 1,212 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Feb 2017, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.7average 32.3
  • FDP -1.4average 6.4
  • SPD +1.3average 30.7
  • AfD -1.3average 10.3
  • Grüne -0.6average 7.6
  • Linke -0.1average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 226 seatsSPD: 212 seatsAfD: 60 seatsLinke: 53 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsFDP: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU226
  • SPD212
  • AfD60
  • Linke53
  • Grüne46
  • FDP33
  • CDU/CSU + SPD438 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne325 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP319 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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