Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 February 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
14 to 16 Feb 2017
Respondents
1,231
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%-2.0
  • SPD30.0%+6.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Grüne9.0%+1.0
  • Linke7.0%-3.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Jan 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 1,231 people were surveyed from 14 to 16 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Jan 2017, SPD gains 6.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher and Linke 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.5average 32.5
  • Linke -1.5average 8.5
  • Grüne +1.4average 7.6
  • AfD -1.3average 11.3
  • FDP +0.3average 5.7
  • SPD +0.1average 29.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 223 seatsSPD: 197 seatsAfD: 66 seatsGrüne: 59 seatsLinke: 46 seatsFDP: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU223
  • SPD197
  • AfD66
  • Grüne59
  • Linke46
  • FDP39
  • CDU/CSU + SPD420 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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