Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 January 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
24 to 26 Jan 2017
Respondents
1,303
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.0%
  • SPD24.0%
  • AfD11.0%
  • Linke10.0%
  • Grüne8.0%
  • FDP6.0%
  • Others5.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,303 people were surveyed from 24 to 26 Jan 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.7 points higher and AfD 2.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jan 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.7average 21.3
  • AfD -2.1average 13.1
  • Grüne -1.2average 9.2
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 35.5
  • Linke +0.3average 9.7
  • FDP -0.3average 6.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 239 seatsSPD: 159 seatsAfD: 73 seatsLinke: 66 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU239
  • SPD159
  • AfD73
  • Linke66
  • Grüne53
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD398 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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