Forsa poll of 25 July 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 24 Jul 2023
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- AfD19.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others11.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Jul 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Jul 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Jul 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.3average 20.3
- FDP -1.0average 7.0
- Grüne -0.7average 14.7
- SPD -0.4average 18.4
- Linke +0.4average 4.6
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 26.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU191
- AfD135
- SPD128
- Grüne99
- FDP42
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.