Forsa poll of 1 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 31 Jul 2023
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%-2.0
- AfD21.0%+2.0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others11.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Jul 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 25 to 31 Jul 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Jul 2023, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 26.9
- SPD -1.3average 18.3
- FDP -0.8average 6.8
- AfD +0.7average 20.3
- Grüne +0.4average 14.6
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU177
- AfD149
- SPD120
- Grüne106
- FDP43
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne403 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.