Single poll
Forsa poll of 18 July 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 Jul 2023
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Jul 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Jul 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 26.9
- Linke -0.7average 4.7
- SPD -0.4average 18.4
- Grüne +0.3average 14.7
- AfD -0.2average 20.2
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- AfD147
- SPD132
- Grüne110
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + AfD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP330 of 630
More
More polls
← Forsa, 11 Jul 2023Forsa, 25 Jul 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.