Forsa poll of 11 July 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 Jul 2023
- Respondents
- 2,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD19.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Jul 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Jul 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Jul 2023, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -0.8average 19.8
- SPD -0.7average 18.7
- Grüne -0.6average 14.6
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 27.2
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU189
- AfD133
- SPD126
- Grüne98
- FDP49
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP364 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.