Single poll

Forsa poll of 27 June 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
20 to 26 Jun 2023
Respondents
2,506
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • AfD19.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others10.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Jun 2023.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 2,506 people were surveyed from 20 to 26 Jun 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Jun 2023, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.0average 28.0
  • SPD -1.0average 19.0
  • Linke -0.8average 4.8
  • Grüne +0.4average 14.6
  • FDP +0.1average 6.9
  • AfD ±0average 19.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 198 seatsAfD: 139 seatsSPD: 132 seatsGrüne: 110 seatsFDP: 51 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU198
  • AfD139
  • SPD132
  • Grüne110
  • FDP51
  • CDU/CSU + AfD337 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD330 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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