Single poll

Forsa poll of 20 June 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
13 to 19 Jun 2023
Respondents
2,503
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
  • AfD19.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • Grüne15.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others10.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Jun 2023.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Jun 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Jun 2023, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.2average 19.2
  • CDU/CSU -1.0average 28.0
  • Linke -0.9average 4.9
  • Grüne +0.4average 14.6
  • AfD +0.3average 18.7
  • FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 198 seatsAfD: 139 seatsSPD: 132 seatsGrüne: 110 seatsFDP: 51 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU198
  • AfD139
  • SPD132
  • Grüne110
  • FDP51
  • CDU/CSU + AfD337 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD330 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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