Single poll

Forsa poll of 13 June 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
6 to 12 Jun 2023
Respondents
2,504
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
  • AfD19.0%+2.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • Grüne14.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others9.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Jun 2023.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Jun 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Jun 2023, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.3average 19.3
  • Linke -0.8average 4.8
  • CDU/CSU +0.7average 28.3
  • AfD +0.7average 18.3
  • Grüne -0.3average 14.3
  • FDP -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 210 seatsAfD: 138 seatsSPD: 130 seatsGrüne: 101 seatsFDP: 51 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU210
  • AfD138
  • SPD130
  • Grüne101
  • FDP51
  • CDU/CSU + AfD348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + FDP319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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