Single poll

Forsa poll of 6 June 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
30 May 2023 to 5 Jun 2023
Respondents
2,505
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • AfD17.0%±0
  • Grüne14.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%-1.0
  • Others10.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 May 2023.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 30 May 2023 to 5 Jun 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 May 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.3average 28.7
  • Grüne -0.9average 14.9
  • SPD -0.8average 18.8
  • Linke -0.8average 4.8
  • AfD -0.4average 17.4
  • FDP -0.3average 7.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 220 seatsSPD: 132 seatsAfD: 124 seatsGrüne: 103 seatsFDP: 51 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU220
  • SPD132
  • AfD124
  • Grüne103
  • FDP51
  • CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne323 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne359 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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