Forsa poll of 16 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 May 2023
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 May 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 May 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 May 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.9average 18.9
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- Grüne -0.7average 15.7
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 29.4
- FDP +0.5average 7.5
- AfD +0.2average 15.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- SPD124
- AfD117
- Grüne110
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne351 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.