Forsa poll of 9 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 8 May 2023
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 May 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 May 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 May 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.3average 19.3
- FDP -0.6average 7.6
- Linke -0.6average 4.6
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 29.5
- Grüne +0.3average 15.7
- AfD +0.3average 15.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU213
- SPD132
- Grüne117
- AfD117
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD330 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.