Forsa poll of 2 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 2,007
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Apr 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,007 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Apr 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Apr 2023, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.7average 19.7
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 29.3
- AfD +0.4average 15.6
- Linke -0.4average 4.4
- FDP -0.3average 7.3
- Grüne ±0average 16.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- SPD125
- Grüne117
- AfD117
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD337 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.