Single poll

Forsa poll of 25 April 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
18 to 24 Apr 2023
Respondents
2,506
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%-1.0
  • AfD15.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others10.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Apr 2023.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,506 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Apr 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Apr 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.0average 20.0
  • CDU/CSU +0.9average 29.1
  • Grüne -0.3average 16.3
  • Linke -0.3average 4.3
  • AfD -0.2average 15.2
  • FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 220 seatsSPD: 132 seatsGrüne: 117 seatsAfD: 110 seatsFDP: 51 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU220
  • SPD132
  • Grüne117
  • AfD110
  • FDP51
  • CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne337 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD330 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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