Forsa poll of 23 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 22 May 2023
- Respondents
- 2,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 May 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 May 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 May 2023, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 15.5
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 29.1
- FDP -0.8average 7.8
- SPD -0.7average 18.7
- AfD +0.1average 15.9
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- SPD126
- AfD112
- Grüne98
- FDP49
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.