Forsa poll of 14 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-2.0
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Mar 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Mar 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Mar 2023, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -0.8average 14.8
- SPD -0.5average 20.5
- FDP -0.4average 6.4
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 29.3
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- Grüne +0.1average 16.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- SPD138
- Grüne118
- AfD97
- FDP41
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.