Forsa poll of 21 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 20 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- SPD19.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Mar 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Mar 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Mar 2023, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.5average 20.5
- Grüne +1.3average 16.7
- AfD -1.0average 15.0
- FDP -0.6average 6.6
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
- CDU/CSU ±0average 29.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- SPD131
- Grüne124
- AfD97
- FDP42
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.